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Wells GA, Elliott J, Kelly S, et al. Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Clinical and Economic Impact of Standard Versus Extended Duration [Internet]. Ottawa (ON): Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health; 2019 Mar. (CADTH Optimal Use Report, No. 9.2b.)

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Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Clinical and Economic Impact of Standard Versus Extended Duration [Internet].

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Appendix 13Pharmacoeconomics

Table 44Previously Published Pharmacoeconomic Analyses

First AuthorYear PublishedCountry of AnalysisPatient PopulationInterventionsType of ModelModel Details
Treatment Duration (Most Relevant)
Arbel Y352018CanadaPatients undergoing PCI

DAPT 3 to 6 months

versus

DAPT 12 months

versus

DAPT 30 to 36 months

Markov patient-level simulation (lifetime horizon in 63-year-old individuals, 1-month cycles)

Efficacy populated by NMA (stable angina and ACS patients)

Markov states:

  • bleeding
  • death
  • MI
  • PCI
  • stent thrombosis
  • stroke

Garg P382015USPatients undergoing PCI with DES

DAPT (clopidogrel + ASA) 6 months versus

DAPT 12 months

versus

DAPT 30 months

Markov cohort (lifetime) to identify threshold of benefits to outweigh harms; sensitivity analysis on ACS (12 months and 18 months, only) and non-ACS patientsMarkov states:
  • bleeding (major and minor)
  • death (CV and non-CV)
  • MI (non-fatal)
  • stent thrombosis
  • stroke (hemorrhagic)
Jiang M422017USACS patients who had DAPT for 12 months after PCI (DES)

ASA 75mg to 162 mg + clopidogrel for 12 months

versus

further DAPT (ASA + clopidogrel) for 18 months post-PCI

Markov (lifetime in 60-year-old individuals)Markov states:
  • bleeding (major)
  • death (CV)
  • MI (non-fatal)
  • stent thrombosis
  • stroke (non-fatal)
DAPT Versus ASA
Beinart SC362005US (using results from multinational CREDO trial)Patients with coronary artery disease undergoing PCI

Clopidogrel 75 mg + ASA daily for 1 year

versus

Clopidrogrel 75 mg daily for 28 days + ASA daily for 1 year

Decision tree (lifetime horizon)Using:
  • Health care resources and clinical events collected during the trial: major CV health care-related resources for death, bleeding, MI, stroke; revascularization procedures; in- and outpatient medications (all other ambulatory care excluded)
  • Framingham Heart Study and Swedish database for long-term survival
Kolm P442007CanadaACS

Clopidogrel + ASA

versus

ASA + placebo for 1 year

(CURE study)

(PCI-CURE: subset who had a PCI)

Decision tree (1 year)

Health care resources from CURE trial

Clinical events: bleeding, death, MI, stroke

Lindgren P452005SwedenUnstable angina undergoing PCI (PCI-CURE study)

ASA + placebo

versus

ASA + clopidogrel for 1 year

MarkovMarkov states:
  • death (CV)
  • death (other causes)
  • MI year 1
  • MI subsequent years
Mahoney EM462006USACS without ST-segment elevation undergoing PCI (PCI-CURE patient-level data)

ASA

versus

ASA + clopidogrel for up to 1 year

Decision tree

Hospitalizations and treatment taken from PCI-CURE study; assigned DRG post-hoc; costs per DRG from Medicare and/or MEDSTAT for trial duration; long-term costs and survival from Saskatchewan health care database

Clinical events: bleeding, death, MI, stroke

Ringborg A512005SwedenPatients undergoing PCI

Clopidogrel for 28 days + ASA for 12 months

versus

clopidogrel + ASA for 12 months

Markov

Using CREDO trial results;

Markov states:

  • death
  • MI year 1
  • MI subsequent years
  • stroke year 1
  • stroke subsequent years

Zhang Z532009USPatients presenting at ER with suspected MI and STEMI within 24 hours undergoing PCI (COMMIT)

Clopidogrel 75 mg

versus

clopidogrel + ASA 162 mg for 1 year

Decision treeUsing COMMIT trial for 28-day outcomes, long-term outcomes assumed to be similar to CURE trial; Outcomes:
  • bleeding (major)
  • CABG
  • death
  • ischemia (refractory)
  • MI complication
  • PCI
  • stroke
P2Y12 Drugs in DAPT
Davies A372013Germany, Sweden, Netherlands, Turkey (using results of the TRITON-TIMI trial)ACS patients undergoing PCI

Prasugrel + ASA

versus

clopidrogrel + ASA for 1 year

Markov patient-level simulation (40-year horizon; 12 monthly cycles; risk equations derived from TRITON-TIMI trial)

Markov states:

  • 3-day acute phase
  • bleeds (major, minor)
  • death (CV)
  • MI (non-fatal)
  • stroke (non-fatal)
Using theTRITON-TIMI trial;

restricted to 1 primary event and 1 bleed event per patient;

  • risks are implemented in 2 stages:
    • risk of composite end point from TRITON-TIMI trial
    • risk of respective events
Same process for bleeds

No event beyond 12 months is modelled but lifetime related costs (e.g., ischemic events) are accounted for

Gasche D392013SwitzerlandACS patients (including stent installation in 60%)

Ticagrelor + ASA

versus

generic clopidrogrel + ASA

for 1 year

1 year decision tree and lifetime Markov model (original model developed by Nikolic et al.49)Using:
  • health care resources and clinical events from the PLATO trial
  • Markov states (populated with external sources):
    • death
    • MI (non-fatal)
    • MI (post-MI)
    • stroke (non-fatal)
    • stroke (post-stroke)
Greenhalgh J402015UK (NICE TA182)ACS patients with PCI divided into 4 subgroups:
  • ACS with PCI for STEMI with and without diabetes
  • ACS with PCI for unstable angina or NSTEMI

Prasugrel + ASA

versus

clopidogrel + ASA for 1 year post-PCI

Patient-level simulation using statistical model from TRITON-TIMI trial (1 year) followed by Markov for 39 yearsClinical outcomes:
  • non-fatal and fatal CV events, adverse effects of treatment and utility
  • Markov states:
    • death (other vascular)
    • death (non-vascular)
    • MI (fatal)
    • MI (non-fatal)
    • stroke (fatal hemorrhagic)
    • stroke (non-fatal hemorrhagic — not disabling)
    • stroke (non-fatal hemorrhagic — disabling)
    • stroke (ischemic)/TIA — fatal
    • stroke (ischemic)/TIA – non-fatal, not disabling
    • stroke (ischemic)/TIA — non-fatal, disabling
Kazi DS432014USPCI in ACS patients

Clopidogrel + ASA

versus

prasugrel + ASA

versus

ticagrelor + ASA

versus

genotype-guided treatment with ticagrelor or prasugrel

and

non-carrier with clopidogrel

MarkovMarkov states:
  • bleeding (intracranial)
  • bleeding (extracranial)
  • death (CV)
  • feath (non-CV)
  • MI (non-fatal)
  • MI (post-MI)
  • revascularization (percutaneous or surgical)
  • stent thrombosis
Mahoney EM472010USPCI in ACS

Prasugrel + ASA

versus

clopidogrel + ASA for 6 to 15 months

(TRITON-TIMI 38 trial)

Decision tree (15 months)

Health care resources from the TRITON-TIMI 38 trial (US, Australia, Canada, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, France)

Clinical events; bleeding, death, ischemia, MI, revascularization, stroke

Mauskopf JA482012USPCI in ACS

Prasugrel + ASA

versus

clopidogrel + ASA for 15 months

Lifetime “disease-progression” model (separate rates for 1st month and months 2 to 15)Model outcomes:
  • costs — medication, ER visits, in-patient stays
  • clinical — CV events (MI, stroke, angina, death), bleeding events; revascularization, rehospitalizations, LYG
Nikolic492013SwedenACS

Ticagrelor + ASA

versus

clopidogrel + ASA for 12 months

Decision tree for 1-year data from PLATO clinical study + MarkovDecision tree events:
  • death
  • MI (non-fatal)
  • stroke (non-fatal)
Markov states:
  • death (from other causes)
  • death (CV)
  • MI (non-fatal)
  • MI (post-MI)
  • stroke (non-fatal)
  • stroke (post-stroke)
Patel V502014USPCI in ACS

Prasugrel + ASA

versus

clopidogrel + ASA

versus

genotype-guided treatment

Decision tree (15 months)Event subtree:
  • bleeding (major)
  • death
  • MI
  • revascularization
  • stroke
Separate probabilities for month 1 and months 2 to15
Wein B522017Denmark, Germany, SwitzerlandACS undergoing PCI

ASA 100 mg lifelong + clopidogrel 75 mg for 12 months

versus

ASA 100 mg lifelong + prasugrel 5 mg or 10 mg per day for 12 months

Decision tree (12 months)

Using BASKET-PROVE cohort

Clinical events: MACCE, death, MI, revascularization, bleeding

Other Regimens
Heeg B412007UKSecondary prevention in patients at high risk of CV events or stroke, or ACSAntiplatelets in secondary prevention; multiple comparisons: clopidogrel versus ASA; clopidrogrel 1 year versus clopidogrel 28 days; dipyridamole + ASA versus ASA; Dipyridamole + ASA versus clopidogrel; ASA versus placeboMarkov (lifetime in a 60-year-old individual)Health states:
  • death
  • MI (first)
  • MI (second)
  • stroke (first)
  • stroke (second)
  • CV event (third)
Transition probabilities depend on time since start of treatment (0 months to 6 months; 6 months to 12 months; after 12 months)

ACS = acute coronary syndrome; CABG = coronary artery bypass graft; CV = cardiovascular; DAPT = dual anti-platelet therapy; DES = drug eluting stent: DRG = diagnosis-related group; ER = emergency room; LYG = life-year gain; MACCE = major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular event; MI = myocardial infarction; NL = Newfoundland and Labrador; NMA = network meta-analysis; NSTEMI = non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction; PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention; STEMI = ST-elevation myocardial infarction; TIA = transient ischemic attack.

Table 45Detailed Inputs Used to Estimate Transition Probabilities in the Extended Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Phase of the Model

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathNIPPON226- to 12-month DAPT0.000806161,63812Beta
Extended DAPT0.00035371,646
OPTIDUAL296- to 12-month DAPT0.0009562467336
Extended DAPT0.00063416685
ITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.0006601191518
Extended DAPT0.00120320904
PRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.0022282969418
Extended DAPT0.00245232693
ARCTIC336- to 12-month DAPT0.000826963217
Extended DAPT0.0006387638
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000807845,70218
Extended DAPT0.0010051065,756
DES-LATE266- to 12-month DAPT0.000530322,48224
Extended DAPT0.000757462,485
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000831
Extended DAPT0.000930
BleedingOPTIDUAL296- to 12-month DAPT: all0.00079736Beta
6- to 12-month DAPT — major0.0001594693
6- to 12-month —DAPT —minor0.00063816681
Extended DAPT all0.000753
Extended DAPT— major0.0001594697
Extended DAPT—minor0.00059415686
ITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT all0.00036018
6- to 12-month DAPT— major0.0000000926
6- to 12-month DAPT— minor0.0003606920
Extended DAPT all0.000601
Extended DAPT— major0.0002414920
Extended DAPT—minor0.0003616918
ARCTIC336- to 12-month DAPT major0.000000064117
Extended DAPT—major0.0000000643

DES-LATE26

(Major)

6- to 12-month DAPT all0.000398242,49024
Extended DAPT all0.000560342,497
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT all0.000712
Extended DAPT all0.000826
6- to 12-month DAPT—major0.000233
Extended DAPT— major0.000365
6- to 12-month DAPT— minor0.000479
Extended DAPT— minor0.000462
Non-fatal MINIPPON226- to 12-month DAPT0.00020241,65012Beta
Extended DAPT0.00005011,652
OPTIDUAL296- to 12-month DAPT0.0006381668136
Extended DAPT0.00043611690
ITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.0007201291418
Extended DAPT0.0005419915
ARCTIC336- to 12-month DAPT0.000826963217
Extended DAPT0.0008219636
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0021412235,56318
Extended DAPT0.0011471215,741
DES-LATE266- to 12-month DAPT0.000447272,48724
Extended DAPT0.000313192,512
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.001268
Extended DAPT0.000725
Non-fatal strokeNIPPON226- to 12-month DAPT0.00035371,64712Beta
Extended DAPT0.00030261,647
OPTIDUAL296- to 12-month DAPT0.000279769036
Extended DAPT0.0001985696
ITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000360692018
Extended DAPT0.0004217917
ARCTIC336- to 12-month DAPT0.000367463717
Extended DAPT0.0005476639
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000461485,73818
Extended DAPT0.000408435,819
DES-LATE266- to 12-month DAPT0.000348212,49324
Extended DAPT0.000346212,510
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000400
Extended DAPT0.000377
Stent thrombosisNIPPON226- to 12-month DAPT0.00010121,65212Beta
Extended DAPT0.00005011,652
OPTIDUAL296- to 12-month DAPT0.000040169636
Extended DAPT0.0001193698
ITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000360692018
Extended DAPT0.0001803921
ARCTIC336- to 12-month DAPT0.000275363817
Extended DAPT0.0000000645
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000711745,71218
Extended DAPT0.000218235,829
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000496
Extended DAPT0.000165
Urgent revascularizationITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000540991718Beta
Extended DAPT0.0004818916
ARCTIC336- to 12-month DAPT0.000826963217
Extended DAPT0.0002743642
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657
Extended DAPT0.000396

DAPT: dual anti-platelet therapy; MI: myocardial infarction.

Table 46Detailed Inputs Used to Estimate Transition Probability in the Post-Extended DAPT Phase of the Model

ParameterValueAlphaBeta95% CI LL95% CI ULDistribution
MI in MI patientOverall (annual)0.052995Beta
Year 1 (annual)0.1245731,0587,435
Year 2 (annual0.0180772446,505
Years 3 and 4 (annual)0.0163364416,308
Stroke in MI patientOverall (annual)0.010947Beta
Year 1 (annual)0.0221361888,305
Year 2 (annual0.005482746,675
Years 3 and 4 (annual)0.0052231416,608
Stroke in stroke patientOverall0.019660Beta
Year 10.0305334871,5463
Year 30.0175138381,5112
Year 50.0109348721,5078
MI in stroke patientOverall0.007512Beta
Year 10.01040816615,784
Year 30.00731535015,600
Year 50.00481538415,566
Post-MI death rateOverall2.301395Log normal
Years 1 to 3 men2.142.002.28
Years 1 to 3 women2.922.723.13
Years 3 to 5 men2.101.862.34
Years 3 to 5 women2.772.423.17
HR death post-strokeOverall1.633333Log normal
Year 11.41.31.5
Year 31.71.61.7
Year 51.81.71.8

95% CI LL = 95% confidence interval lower limit; 95% CI UL = 95% confidence interval upper limit; DAPT = dual anti-platelet therapy; HR = hazard ratio; MI = myocardial infarction.

Table 47List of ICD-10 Codes Used for Extracting Costs for Bleeding Events From the OCCI Database

Bleeding SiteICD-10 CodeDescription
GastrointestinalI850Esophageal varices with bleeding
K250Gastric ulcer, acute with hemorrhage
K252Gastric ulcer, acute with both hemorrhage and perforation
K254Gastric ulcer, chronic or unspecified with hemorrhage
K256Gastric ulcer, chronic or unspecified with both hemorrhage and perforation
K260Duodenal ulcer, acute with hemorrhage
K262Duodenal ulcer, acute with both hemorrhage and perforation
K264Duodenal ulcer, chronic or unspecified with hemorrhage
K266Duodenal ulcer, chronic or unspecified with both hemorrhage and perforation
K270Peptic ulcer, acute with hemorrhage
K272Peptic ulcer, acute with both hemorrhage and perforation
K274Peptic ulcer, chronic or unspecified with hemorrhage
K276Peptic ulcer, chronic or unspecified with both hemorrhage and perforation
K280Gastrojejunal ulcer, acute with hemorrhage
K282Gastrojejunal ulcer, acute with both hemorrhage and perforation
K284Gastrojejunal ulcer, chronic or unspecified with hemorrhage
K286Gastrojejunal ulcer, chronic or unspecified with both hemorrhage and perforation
K290Acute hemorrhagic gastritis
K625Hemorrhage of anus and rectum
K661Hemoperitoneum
K920Hematemesis
K921Melena
K922Gastrointestinal hemorrhage, unspecified
HematologyR58Hemorrhage, not elsewhere classified
Intracranial (other than hemorrhagic stroke)I629Intracranial hemorrhage (non-traumatic), unspecified
RespiratoryR040Epistaxis
R041Hemorrhage from throat
R042Hemoptysis
R048Hemorrhage form other site in respiratory passages
R049Hemorrhage from respiratory passages, unspecified
UrogenitalN020-029Recurrent and persistent hematuria
R310, 311, 318Unspecified hematuria

ICD-10 = International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision.

Table 48Detailed Cost Inputs

ParameterValueSEAlphaBeta95% CI LL95% CI ULDistribution
Medications
ASA (monthly)$0.42Not varied
Clopidogrel$7.89
Prasugrel$57.48
Ticagrelor$92.82
Pharmacist dispensing fees$2.94
% Clopidogrel0.8010,5532,488Beta
Stroke (event)$12,889.65
Hospitalization$11,420.37$247.72$2,125.31$5.37Gamma
Physician (unadjusted)$1,469.28$393.36$13.95$105.31Gamma
Age adjustment0.00530.0007Normal
Gender adjustment0.03870.0163Normal
MI (event)$10,763.33
Hospitalization$8,731.63$87.23$10,018.79$0.87Gamma
Physician (unadjusted)$2,031.70$15.91$16,316.46$0.12Gamma
Age adjustment0.99300.0010.9910.995Normal
Gender adjustment1.11000.0151.0801.140Normal
Major bleed$6,541.22$124.16$2,775.51$2.36Gamma
Minor bleed$222.64Gamma
General emergency$227.72$1.15$0.01$222.64
Urgent care centre$120.68$2.07$0.04$227.72
% Minor bleed84.62224Beta
Post-stroke (age- and gender-adjusted)$2,245.24
Post-stroke (unadjusted)$1,711.73$208.52$67.38$25.40Gamma
Post-MI (per month, age, and gender-adjusted)$308.28
Post-MI (per day unadjusted)$7.22$0.13$3,173.06$0.00Gamma
PCI$567.08Not varied

95% CI LL = lower limit of the 95% confidence interval; 95% CI UL = upper limit of the 95% confidence interval; MI = myocardial infarction; PCI = percutaneous coronary intervention; SE = standard error.

Table 49Exploratory Subgroup Analysis Data Inputs — Prior Myocardial Infarctiona

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.001543414018Beta
Extended DAPT0.0016104134
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.001058502,57518
Extended DAPT0.001105542,661
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.001083
Extended DAPT0.001129
BleedingITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT— all0.00038618Beta
6- to 12-month DAPT — major
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.0003861143
Extended DAPT all0.000000
Extended DAPT — major
Extended DAPT — minor0.0000000144
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT— all0.001164552,57018
6- to 12-month DAPT — major
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor
Extended DAPT all0.0023941172,598
Extended DAPT — major
Extended DAPT — minor
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT— all0.001124
Extended DAPT — all0.002278
Non-fatal MIITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000772214218Beta
Extended DAPT0.0004031137
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0028991372,48818
Extended DAPT0.001391682,647
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.002789
Extended DAPT0.001344
Non-fatal strokeDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000508242,60118Beta
Extended DAPT0.000389192,696
Stent thrombosisDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000995472,57818Beta
Extended DAPT0.000286142,701
Urgent revascularizationITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.001157314118Beta
Extended DAPT0.0004031138

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Cohort assumed to have same average age and gender distribution as full cohort.

Table 50Exploratory Subgroup Analysis Data Inputs — No Prior Myocardial Infarctiona

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000615353,12618Beta
Extended DAPT0.001006573,090
BleedingDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT — all0.0013311013,06018Beta
Extended DAPT —all0.0025421922,955
Non-fatal MIDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.001670953,06618Beta
Extended DAPT0.001059603,087
Non-fatal strokeDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000492283,13318Beta
Extended DAPT0.000441253,122
Stent thrombosisDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000492283,13318Beta
Extended DAPT0.00015993,138
Urgent revascularizationb6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657Beta
Extended DAPT0.000396

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Cohort assumed to have same average age and gender distribution as full cohort.

b

Assumed to be the same as the entire population (16% had a prior myocardial infarction).

Table 51Exploratory Subgroup Analysis — Acute Coronary Syndrome Patientsa

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly rateAlphaBetaStudy duration (months)Distribution
All-cause deathITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000556439618Beta
Extended DAPT0.0012329397
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000878281,74318
Extended DAPT0.000769251,780
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000819
Extended DAPT0.000854
BleedingITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT — all18Beta
6- to 12-month DAPT — major
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.0002782
Extended DAPT all
Extended DAPT — major
Extended DAPT — minor0.0005474
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT — all0.0008713718
6- to 12-month DAPT — major
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor
Extended DAPT all0.00180178
Extended DAPT—major
Extended DAPT — minor
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT — all0.000761
Extended DAPT all0.001570
Non-fatal MIITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000972718Beta
Extended DAPT0.0008216
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0028869218
Extended DAPT0.00123140
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.002533
Extended DAPT0.001156
Non-fatal strokeDAPT236- to 12-month0.0003761218Beta
Extended DAPT0.00040013
Stent thrombosisDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0010673418Beta
Extended DAPT0.0002779
Urgent revascularizationITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000833618Beta
Extended DAPT0.0000000

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Cohort assumed to have the same average age and gender distribution as full cohort.

Table 52Exploratory Subgroup Analysis — Diabetes Mellitus Patientsa

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.001157718Beta
Extended DAPT0.00159210
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0011763518
Extended DAPT0.00147146
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.001173
Extended DAPT0.001491
BleedingITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT — all18Beta
6- to 12-month DAPT — major
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.0004963
Extended DAPT all
Extended DAPT — major
Extended DAPT — minor0.0003182
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT — all0.00198218
6- to 12-month DAPT — major0.00110833
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.00087326
Extended DAPT all0.003294
Extended DAPT — major0.00143945
Extended DAPT — minor0.00185558
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT — all0.001731
Extended DAPT — all0.002846
Non-fatal MIITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000661418Beta
Extended DAPT0.0006374
DAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0025867718
Extended DAPT0.00188759
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.002261
Extended DAPT0.001678
Non-fatal strokeDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0005711718Beta
Extended DAPT0.00057618
Stent thrombosisDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0006051818Beta
Extended DAPT0.0002889
Urgent revascularizationITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000496318Beta
Extended DAPT0.0007963

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Cohort assumed to have the same average age and gender distribution as the full cohort.

Table 53Exploratory Subgroup Analysis — Patients Without Diabetes Mellitusa

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000622504,08218Beta
Long-DAPT0.000835624063
BleedingbWeighted average6- to 12-month DAPT — all0.000712Beta
Extended DAPT —all0.000803
6- to 12-month DAPT — major0.000233
Extended DAPT — major0.000341
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.000479
Extended DAPT — minor0.000462
Non-fatal MIDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.0020041493,98318Beta
Long-DAPT0.000889664,059
Non-fatal strokebWeighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000400Beta
Extended DAPT0.000377
Stent thrombosisDAPT236- to 12-month DAPT0.000780584,07418Beta
Long-DAPT0.000229174,108
Urgent revascularizationbWeighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657Beta
Extended DAPT0.000396

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Cohort assumed to have the same average age and gender distribution as the full cohort.

b

Assumed to be similar to the entire patient population (69% without diabetes).

Table 54Exploratory Subgroup Analysis — Patients Greater Than 75 Yearsa

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000896212218Beta
Extended DAPT0.0028397130
PRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.0060313327118
Extended DAPT0.00510426257
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.004543
Extended DAPT0.004365
BleedingITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT — all18Beta
6- to 12-month DAPT — major
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.0013443121
Extended DAPT all
Extended DAPT — major
Extended DAPT — minor0.0016224133
PRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPTall0.00164518
6- to 12-month -DAPT — major0.0009145299
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.0007314300
Extended DAPT — all0.007263
Extended DAPT — major0.00451514260
Extended DAPT — minor0.0027489269
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPTall0.001822
Extended DAPT — all0.006896
Non-fatal MIITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000000012418Beta
Extended DAPT0.0012173134
PRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.0025581429018
Extended DAPT0.00333717266
Weighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.001817
Extended DAPT0.002646
Non-fatal strokePRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.000183130318Beta
Extended DAPT0.0015708275
Stent thrombosisPRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.001096629818Beta
Extended DAPT0.0007854279
Urgent revascularizationITALIC306- to 12-month DAPT0.000448112318Beta
Extended DAPT0.0004061136

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Age and gender distribution from PRODIGY study only: 80.4(standard deviation: 4.0)-years-old; 65.8% men.

Table 55Exploratory Subgroup Analysis — Less Than 75-Years-Olda

ParameterStudyTreatmentMonthly RateAlphaBetaStudy Duration (Months)Distribution
All-cause deathPRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.0008181066918Beta
Extended DAPT0.00134217687
BleedingPRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT — all0.00090018Beta
6- to 12-month DAPT-major0.0004095674
6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.0004916673
Extended DAPT all0.002367
Extended DAPT —major0.00078910694
Extended DAPT —minor0.00157820684
Non-fatal MIPRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.000736967018Beta
Extended DAPT0.00078910694
Non-fatal strokePRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.000245367618Beta
Extended DAPT0.0007109695
Stent thrombosisPRODIGY246- to 12-month DAPT0.000327467518Beta
Extended DAPT0.0003164700
Urgent revascularizationbWeighted average6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657Beta
Extended DAPT0.000396

DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; MI = myocardial infarction.

a

Age and gender from the PRODIGY STUDY.

b

Assumed to be similar to entire patient population.

Table 56Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis Inputs

AnalysisParameterGroupValue95% CI LL95% CI UL
Risk ratios from meta-analysisHR overall deathExtended DAPT1.0680790.8026121.421352
HR major bleedExtended DAPT1.4188560.8781752.292429
HR minor bleedExtended DAPT0.9519770.5257551.720110
HR non-fatal MIExtended DAPT0.5794590.4803070.699080
HR stent thrombosisExtended DAPT0.3797650.2137030.674868
HR non-fatal strokeExtended DAPT0.9372250.6988961.256827
HR urgent revascularizationExtended DAPT0.6049430.2388381.532236
Alternative calculation for bleeding — method AAll bleeding6- to 12-month DAPT — all0.001223
Major bleeding6- to 12-month DAPT — major0.000525
Minor bleeding6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.000697
All bleedingExtended DAPT — all0.002234
Major bleedingExtended DAPT — major0.000877
Minor bleedingExtended DAPT —minor0.001357
Alternative calculation for bleeding – method BAll bleeding6- to 12-month DAPT — all0.003414
Major bleeding6- to 12-month DAPT — major0.000525
Minor bleeding6- to 12-month DAPT — minor0.002888
All bleedingExtended DAPT —all0.005703
Major bleedingExtended DAPT — major0.000877
Minor bleedingExtended DAPT —minor0.004825
Initial DAPT 6 months (NIPPON,22 ITALIC,30 PRODIGY24)Overall death6- to 12-month DAPT0.001076
Extended DAPT0.001052
Bleeding all6- to 12-month DAPT0.000360
Extended DAPT0.000601
Non-fatal MI6- to 12-month DAPT0.000388
Extended DAPT0.000226
Non-fatal stroke6- to 12-month DAPT0.000355
Extended DAPT0.000345
Stent thrombosis6- to 12-month DAPT0.000194
Extended DAPT0.000097
Urgent revascularization6- to 12-month DAPT0.000540
Extended DAPT0.000481
Initial DAPT 12 months (DAPT, OPTIDUAL,29 ARCTIC,33 DES-LATE26)Overall death6- to 12-month DAPT0.000747
Extended DAPT0.000889
Bleeding all6- to 12-month DAPT0.000926
Extended DAPT0.000988
Non-fatal MI6- to 12-month DAPT0.001503
Extended DAPT0.000857
Non-fatal stroke6- to 12-month DAPT0.000412
Extended DAPT0.000386
Stent thrombosis6- to 12-month DAPT0.000606
Extended DAPT0.000189
Urgent revascularization6- to 12-month DAPT0.000826
Extended DAPT0.000274
DAPT duration 18 months (NIPPON22)Overall death6- to 12-month DAPT0.000806
Extended DAPT0.000353
Bleeding all*6- to 12-month DAPT0.000712
Extended DAPT0.000826
Non-fatal MI6- to 12-month DAPT0.000202
Extended DAPT0.000050
Non-fatal stroke6- to 12-month DAPT0.000353
Extended DAPT0.000302
Stent thrombosis6- to 12-month DAPT0.000101
Extended DAPT0.000050
Urgent revascularizationa6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657
Extended DAPT0.000396
DAPT duration 24 to 30 months (ITALIC,30 PRODIGY,24 ARCTIC,33 DAPT23)Overall death6- to 12-month DAPT0.000919
Extended DAPT0.001127
Bleeding all6- to 12-month DAPT0.000360
Extended DAPT0.000502
Non-fatal MI6- to 12-month DAPT0.001848
Extended DAPT0.001043
Non-fatal stroke6- to 12-month DAPT0.000440
Extended DAPT0.000421
Stent thrombosis6- to 12-month DAPT0.000628
Extended DAPT0.000194
Urgent revascularization6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657
Extended DAPT0.000396
DAPT duration 36 to 48 months (OPTIDUAL,29 DES-LATE26)Overall death6- to 12-month DAPT0.000623
Extended DAPT0.000731
Bleeding all6- to 12-month DAPT0.000984
Extended DAPT0.001067
Non-fatal MI6- to 12-month DAPT0.000489
Extended DAPT0.000339
Non-fatal stroke6- to 12-month DAPT0.000333
Extended DAPT0.000314
Stent thrombosis6- to 12-month DAPT0.000040
Extended DAPT0.000119
Urgent revascularizationa6- to 12-month DAPT0.000657
Extended DAPT0.000396

95% CI LL = lower limit of the 95% confidence interval; 95% CI UL = upper limit of the 95% confidence interval; DAPT = dual antiplatelet therapy; HR = hazard ratio.

a

Assumed to be the same as the full analysis.

Copyright © 2019 Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health.

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Bookshelf ID: NBK542920

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