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Table A31One-way sensitivity analyses results for solid tumour patients who can take quinolone: Nothing/ placebo v.s Primary prophylaxis with G(M)-CSF
Analysis | Value | Incremental costs (£) | Incremental QALYs | ICER (£) incremental (QALYs) | Optimal strategy | Probability CE 1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SA1: Number of cycles of chemotherapy | 1 | £771.5 | 4.7*10-4 | £1.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
6 | £4,733.9 | 8.7*10-4 | £5.5 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA2: Baseline risk of neutropenic sepsis per chemotherapy cycle: Cycle 2 onwards 2 | 5% | £2,399.6 | 7.4*10-4 | £3.2 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
100% | £1,884.6 | 1.5*10-3 | £1.3 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA3: Relative risk of a neutropenic sepsis episode: Cycle 1 versus Cycle 2 onwards | 1 | £2,399.1 | 7.1*10-4 | £3.4 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
10 | £2,374.8 | 8.7*10-4 | £2.7 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA4: Relative risk of a neutropenic sepsis episode: Previous neutropenic sepsis versus no previous neutropenic sepsis | 1 | £2,442.9 | 6.1*10-4 | £4.0 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
10 | £2,296.9 | 1.1*10-3 | £2.1million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA5: Relative risk of a neutropenic sepsis episode: G(M)-CSF versus nothing/placebo | 0.1 | £2,141.1 | 2.1*10-3 | £1.0 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
0.95 | £2,459.3 | 2.6*10-4 | £9.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA6: Probability of self administrating G(M)-CSF | 0% | £2,598.3 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.8 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
100% | £2,107.5 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.3 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA7: Probability of using an ambulance for patients with neutropenic sepsis | 0 | £2,377.5 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
100% | £2,321.3 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.5 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA8: Probability of patients with neutropenic sepsis who are at high risk of serious adverse events | 5% | £3,377.9 | 8.3*10-4 | £2.9 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
20% | £2,303.0 | 1.1*10-3 | £2.1 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA9: Days of using G(M)-CSF for each cycle of chemotherapy | 5 d | £1,397.0 | 9.2*10-4 | £1.5 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
11 d | £3,308.9 | 9.2*10-4 | £3.6million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA10: Days of inpatient treatment for neutropenic sepsis patients at low-risk of serious adverse events | 1 | £2,405.3 | 7.0*10-4 | £3.4 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
6 | £2,143.3 | 1.8*10-3 | £1.2 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA11: Days of inpatient treatment for neutropenic sepsis patients at high-risk of serious adverse events | 6 | £2,358.7 | 8.9*10-4 | £2.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
14 | £2,312.2 | 1.1*10-3 | £2.1 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA12: Cost per hospital bed day | £100 | £2,454.4 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.7 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
£1000 | £1,865.3 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.0 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA13: Daily cost of G(M)-CSF per person | £60.69 3 | £1,467.6 | 9.2*10-4 | £1.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
£98.57 4 | £2,352.9 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA14: Drug discounts of G(M)-CSF | 0% 5 | £3,352.9 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
90% 6 | £279.5 | 9.2*10-4 | £0.3 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA15: Utility decrement due to inpatient treatment of neutropenic sepsis) | 0.14 | £2,352.9 | 4.9*10-4 | £4.8 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
0.38 | £2,352.9 | 9.2*10-4 | £2.6 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% | |
SA16: Utility decrement due to outpatient treatment of neutropenic sepsis | 0 | £2,352.9 | 6.8*10-4 | £3.5 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
0.15 | £2,352.9 | 9.3*10-4 | £2.5 million | Nothing/placebo | 100% |
- 1
CE = cost effective at a NICE WTP threshold of £20,000/QALY.
- 2
In the economic analysis, it is assumed that the relative risk of a neutropenic sepsis event in the first cycle of chemotherapy compared with cycle two onwards is 3.69 (Cullen, 2007). Therefore by testing a range of 5-100% risk of neutropenic sepsis (per cycle) for Cycle 2 onwards; we tested a range of 1.4-100% risk of neutropenic sepsis (per cycle) for the first cycle of chemotherapy.
- 3
Average cost of filgrastim and lenograstim assuming the daily dose of G(M)-CSF is 30 million-units for all adult patients regardless of weight.
- 4
Calculated from filgrastim and lenograstim based on patient weight distribution reported by: Green 2003, Romieu 2007 and Gigg 2003 (see appendix A10).
- 5
Corresponding price of G(M)-CSF (when 0% discount is used):
- Filgrastim (30 million-unit syringe): £58.84.
- Filgrastim (48 million-unit syringe): £93.93.
- Lenograstim (13.4 million-unit syringe): £31.39.
- Lenograstim (33.6 million-unit syringe): £62.54.
- 6
Corresponding price of G(M)-CSF (when 90% discount is used):
- Filgrastim (30 million-unit syringe): £5.9.
- Filgrastim (48 million-unit syringe): £9.4.
- Lenograstim (13.4 million-unit syringe): £3.1.
- Lenograstim (33.6 million-unit syringe): £6.3.