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Buntin MB, Escarce J, Goldman D, et al. Determinants of Increases in Medicare Expenditures for Physicians' Services. Rockville (MD): Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (US); 2003 Oct. (Technical Reviews, No. 7.)

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Determinants of Increases in Medicare Expenditures for Physicians' Services.

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Appendix C1993 Two-part Model Estimation Results

Probit Model on Any UseGLM Model on Use Given Any Use
CoefficientRobust Standard ErrorCoefficientSemi-Robust Standard Error
65–69 years-0.090.11-0.010.10
70–74 years0.110.110.110.10
75–79 years0.160.110.090.10
80–84 years0.26*0.12-0.080.09
85+ years0.010.12-0.050.13
Male-0.30*0.100.140.13
65–69 & male0.080.130.070.16
70–74 & male-0.010.14-0.110.15
75–79 & male0.140.140.050.16
80–84 & male0.110.150.220.15
85+ & male0.50*0.16-0.040.19
> High school education0.12*0.050.060.05
Medicaid0.51*0.090.37*0.09
Private supplement0.69*0.060.30*0.07
Drug coverage0.010.05-0.050.05
Urban residence0.050.050.22*0.05
Midwest-0.010.06-0.020.06
South-0.080.06-0.08**0.05
West-0.17*0.07-0.010.06
Other-0.220.160.060.12
1–2 ADLs0.020.060.030.06
3+ ADLs0.010.090.110.08
1–2 IADLs0.17*0.060.38*0.06
3+ IADL-0.020.090.48*0.08
Ever smoked-0.070.050.040.05
Hardening of the arteries0.070.070.11**0.06
Hypertension0.32*0.040.08**0.04
Myocardial infarction0.090.070.22*0.07
Angina pectoris/CHD0.15*0.080.11**0.06
Other heart condition0.31*0.060.20*0.05
Stroke/brain hemorrhage-0.040.08-0.070.07
Other cancer (not below)0.110.090.29*0.09
Skin cancer0.37*0.070.11*0.05
Lung cancer0.54**0.300.87*0.21
Colon cancer0.24**0.140.39*0.11
Breast cancer0.31*0.140.37*0.12
Prostate cancer0.29**0.170.56*0.10
Diabetes0.48*0.070.11*0.05
Arthritis0.25*0.040.070.05
Alzheimer's0.270.17-0.080.15
Mental disorder0.110.090.17*0.08
Osteoporosis0.070.09-0.050.07
Broken hip0.200.130.36*0.18
Parkinson's0.39**0.20-0.120.11
Emphysema, asthma, COPD0.23*0.070.050.05
Decedent-0.020.120.82*0.09
Constant0.140.122.56*0.13
(1/df) deviance = 1.5625
R2(pseudo) = 0.1513(1/df) pearson = 3.1202
Number of observations 9,627 8,619

Note: The probability of any use was 88.7 percent. The mean of number of RVUs conditional on use was 42.97.

*

significant at p< 0.05

**

significant at p< 0.10

GLM = generalized linear model.

ADLs = activities of daily living.

IADLs = instrumental activities of daily living.

CHD = chronic heart disease.

COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Note: Omitted categories are <65 years, <65 years and male, Northeast region, zero ADLs, zero IADLs, and no self-reported conditions.

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