Table 3Summary GRADE profiles for alternatives compared with hospital care

Alternatives compared to Hospital care
OutcomesNo of Participants (studies) Follow upQuality of the evidence (GRADE)Relative effect (95% CI)Anticipated absolute effects
Risk with Hospital careRisk difference with Alternatives (95% CI)
Alternatives compared with Hospital at home led by primary care - early discharge
Mortality - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary care

591

(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 0.9 (0.47 to 1.71)Moderate
69 per 10007 fewer per 1000 (from 37 fewer to 49 more)
Length of stay (initial inpatient days) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary care

222

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

The mean length of stay (initial inpatient days) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care in the intervention groups was

2.44 lower (3.34 to 1.54 lower)

Admissions - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary care

585

(6 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

RR 0.92 (0.73 to 1.15)Moderate
367 per 100029 fewer per 1000 (from 99 fewer to 55 more)
Presentations to ED - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary care

222

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 0.44 (0.22 to 0.86)Moderate
208 per 1000116 fewer per 1000 (from 29 fewer to 162 fewer)
Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care (SGRQ; change score; reversed)

282

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

The mean QOL (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by (SGRQ change score; reversed) in the intervention groups was

3.49 higher (0.38 lower to 7.36 higher)

Quality of life (higher values better QoL) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care (COOP chart; change score; reversed)

75

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

The mean Quality of life (higher values better QOL) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care (COOP chart; change score; reversed) in the intervention groups was

0.17 standard deviations higher (0.29 lower to 0.62 higher)

Patient Satisfaction (continuous-higher values more satisfied) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary care

285

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

The mean patient satisfaction (continuous-higher values more satisfied) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care in the intervention groups was 0.25 standard deviations higher (0.01 to 0.48 higher)
Patient satisfaction (dichotomous) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by Primary care

54

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEb

due to risk of bias

RR 1.04 (0.88 to 1.24)Moderate
889 per 100036 more per 1000 (from 107 fewer to 213 more)
Carer satisfaction (dichotomous) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary care

34

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEb

due to risk of bias

RR 0.97 (0.79 to 1.19)Moderate
929 per 100028 fewer per 1000 (from 195 fewer to 177 more)
Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care (EQ-5D; change score)

101

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary care (eq-5d; change score) in the intervention groups was

0.04 higher (0.07 lower to 0.16 higher)

Alternatives compared with Hospital at home led by secondary care- early discharge
Mortality - early discharge - Hospital at home led by secondary care

31

(1study)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

VERY LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

RR 1.38 (0.22 to 8.59)Moderate
111 per 1000

42 more per 1000

(from 87 fewer to 842 more)

Readmissions-early discharge- Hospital at home led by secondary care

84

(1 study)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

VERY LOWa,b,c

due to risk of bias, imprecision, inconsistency,

RR 0.50 (0.05 to 5.31)Moderate
127 per 100064 fewer per 1000 (from 121 fewer to 547 more)
Alternatives compared with Hospital at home led by primary and secondary care - early discharge
Mortality - early discharge - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

895

(4 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

VERY LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

RR 1.02 (0.72 to 1.44)Moderate
140 per 10003 more per 1000 (from 39 fewer to 62 more)
Readmissions (30 days) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

285

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 1.66 (0.97 to 2.83)Moderate
127 per 100084 more per 1000 (from 4 fewer to 232 more)
Admissions - early discharge - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

835

(5 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEb

due to risk of bias

RR 0.94 (0.74 to 1.2)Moderate
200 per 100012 fewer per 1000 (from 52 fewer to 40 more)
Length of stay (days in treatment) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary and secondary care

285

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

The mean length of stay (days in treatment) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care in the intervention groups was

3.1 higher (1.81 to 4.39 higher)

Carer satisfaction (dichotomous) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

127

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 1.61 (1.14 to 2.28)Moderate
414 per 1000253 more per 1000 (from 58 more to 530 more)
Patient Satisfaction (continuous-higher values more satisfied) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by primary and secondary care

281

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEb

due to risk of bias

The mean patient satisfaction (continuous-higher values more satisfied) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care in the intervention groups was

0.25 standard deviations higher (0.01 to 0.48 higher)

Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (final score; SF-36; physical)

241

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (final score; sf-36; physical) in the intervention groups was

0.4 higher (2.2 lower to 3 higher)

Patient satisfaction (dichotomous) - early discharge - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

232

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 1.15 (1 to 1.32)Moderate
725 per 1000109 more per 1000 (from 0 more to 232 more)
Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (final score; SF-36; mental)

241

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - early discharge - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (final score; sf-36; mental) in the intervention groups was

1.3 higher (1.55 lower to 4.15 higher)

Alternatives compared with step-up/down care- early discharge
Mortality - early discharge - Step up/down care

1008

(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

RR 0.88 (0.71 to 1.1)Moderate
215 per 100026 fewer per 1000 (from 62 more to 22 more)
Length of stay (initial inpatient days) - early discharge - Step up/down care

518

(2 studies)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

VERY LOWa,b,c

due to risk of bias, inconsistency, imprecision

The mean length of stay (initial inpatient days) - early discharge - step up/down care in the intervention groups was

3.59 higher (1.23 to 5.95 higher)

Readmissions - early discharge - Step up/down care

142

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 0.54 (0.31 to 0.96)Moderate
357 per 1000164 fewer per 1000 (from 14 fewer to 246 fewer)
Alternatives compared with virtual wards- early discharge
Mortality- early discharge- virtual wards

57

(1 study)

⊕⊝⊝⊝

VERY LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

RR 0.72 (0.18 to 2.95)Moderate
143 per 100040 fewer per 1000 (from 117 more to 279 more)
Quality of life -early discharge- virtual wards (EQ-5D summary index; change score)

57

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEb

due to risk of bias

The mean Quality of life -early discharge- virtual wards (eq-5d summary index; change score) in the intervention groups was

0.00 higher (0.15 lower to 0.15 higher)

Alternatives compared with hospital at home led by primary care- admission avoidance
Mortality - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by primary care

285

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 0.82

(0.53 to 1.29)

Moderate
309 per 100056 fewer per 1000 (from 145 fewer to 90 more)
Admissions(>30 days) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by primary care

285

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 1.29 (0.73 to 2.29)Moderate
100 per 100030 more per 1000 (from 28 fewer to 133 more)
Adverse events - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by primary care

49

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 1.3 (0.62 to 2.73)Moderate
320 per 100096 more per 1000 (from 122 fewer to 554 more)
Days to discharge (hazard ratio) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at Home Primary Care (Hazard Ratio)

194

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

HR 0.95 (0.71 to 1.27)Moderate
0 per 1000-
Patient satisfaction (dichotomous) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by Primary care

179

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

RR 0.97 (0.92 to 1.02)Moderate
989 per 100030 fewer per 1000 (from 79 fewer to 20 more)
Readmissions(<30 days) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by primary care

307

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

RR 4.68 (1.53 to 14.31)Moderate
31per 100031per 1000
Quality of life (high score is good) - Admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary care (final score; SF-12; mental)

49

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary care (final score; sf-12; mental) in the intervention groups was

0.6 lower (5.46 lower to 4.26 higher)

Quality of life (high score is good) - Admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary care (final score; SF-12; physical)

49

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary care (final score; sf-12; physical) in the intervention groups was

3.6 lower (8.78 lower to 1.58 higher)

Alternatives compared with hospital at home led by secondary care- admission avoidance
Mortality - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by secondary care

329

(4 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 0.8

(0.47 to 1.35)

Moderate
150 per 1000

30 fewer per 1000

(from 80 fewer to 53 more)

Admissions(>30 days) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by secondary care

252

(3 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

RR 0.56 (0.42 to 0.75)Moderate
500 per 1000220 fewer per 1000 (from 125 fewer to 290 fewer)
Length of stay (days in treatment) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by secondary care

172

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWb,d

due to risk of bias, inconsistency

The mean length of stay (days in treatment) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by secondary care in the intervention groups was

4.69 higher (2.86 to 6.52 higher)

Quality of life high score is good) - Admission avoidance - hospital at home led by secondary care (change score; SF-36; mental)

71

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by secondary care (change score; sf-36; mental) in the intervention groups was

1.2 higher (1.46 lower to 3.86 higher)

Patient satisfaction (dichotomous) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by secondary care

104

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

RR 1.07

(0.95 to 1.2)

Moderate
885 per 100062 more per 1000 (from 44 fewer to 177 more)
Quality of life (high score is good) - Admission avoidance- hospital at home led by secondary care (NHP, change score; reversed)

205

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEe

due to inconsistency

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by secondary care (nhp, change score; reversed) in the intervention groups was

1.13 higher (0.29 to 1.97 higher)

Quality of life (high score is good) - Admission avoidance- hospital at home led by secondary care (change score; SF-36; physical)

71

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

The mean Quality of life (high score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by secondary care (change score; sf-36; physical) in the intervention groups was

1.4 higher (2.38 lower to 5.18 higher)

Alternatives compared with hospital at home led by primary and secondary care- admission avoidance
Adverse events - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

100

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 0.72 (0.27 to 1.93)Moderate
163 per 100046 fewer per 1000 (from 119 fewer to 152 more)
Admissions(>30 days) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

250

(2 studies)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 1.14 (0.74 to 1.74)Moderate
221 per 100031 more per 1000 (from 57 fewer to 164 more)
Mortality - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by both primary and secondary care

150

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 1.12 (0.36 to 3.47)Moderate
80 per 100010 more per 1000 (from 51 fewer to 198 more)
Patient Satisfaction (continuous-higher score is good) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (reversed scale)

60

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

The mean patient satisfaction (continuous-higher score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (reversed scale) in the intervention groups was

1.98 standard deviations higher (1.33 to 2.64 higher)

Carer satisfaction (continuous) - Admission avoidance - Hospital at home led by primary and secondary care

41

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

The mean carer satisfaction (continuous) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care in the intervention groups was

1.55 standard deviations higher (0.8 to 2.29 higher)

Quality of life (high score is good) - Admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (SGRQ; change score; reversed)

50

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

The mean Quality of life l (high score is good) - admission avoidance - hospital at home led by primary and secondary care (sgrq; change score; reversed) in the intervention groups was

2.83 lower (11.75 lower to 6.09 higher)

Alternatives compared with step-up/down care- admission avoidance
Length of stay (initial inpatient days) - Admission avoidance - Step up/down care

155

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa,b

due to risk of bias, imprecision

The mean length of stay (initial inpatient days) - admission avoidance - step up/down care in the intervention groups was

4.1 lower (8.58 lower to 0.38 higher)

Mortality - Admission avoidance - Step up/down care

155

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊝

MODERATEa

due to imprecision

RR 0.49 (0.22 to 1.09)Moderate
208 per 1000106 fewer per 1000 (from 162 fewer to 19 more)
Alternatives compared with virtual wards- admission avoidance
Mortality - Admission avoidance - Virtual wards

1913

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊝⊝

LOWa

due to imprecision

RR 0.85

(0.56 to 1.28)

Moderate
49 per 10007 fewer per 1000 (from 22 fewer to 14 more)
Readmissions (30 days) - Admission avoidance - Virtual wards

1919

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

RR 0.89 (0.74 to 1.06)Moderate
213 per 100023 fewer per 1000 (from 55 fewer to 13 more)
Presentations to ED - Admission avoidance - Virtual wards

1920

(1 study)

⊕⊕⊕⊕

HIGH

RR 0.95 (0.82 to 1.09)Moderate
296 per 100015 fewer per 1000 (from 53 fewer to 27 more)
(a)

Downgraded by 1 increment if the confidence interval crossed 1 MID point, and downgraded by 2 increments if the confidence interval crossed 2 MID points.

(b)

Downgraded by 1 increment if the majority of the evidence was at high risk of bias, and downgraded by 2 increments if the majority of the evidence was at very high risk of bias.

(c)

Downgraded by 1 or 2 increments because heterogeneity, I2=92%, unexplained by sub-group analysis.

(d)

Downgraded by 1 or 2 increments because heterogeneity, I2=88%, unexplained by sub-group analysis.

(e)

Downgraded by 1 or 2 increments because heterogeneity, I2=50%, unexplained by sub-group analysis.

From: Chapter 12, Alternatives to hospital care

Cover of Emergency and acute medical care in over 16s: service delivery and organisation
Emergency and acute medical care in over 16s: service delivery and organisation.
NICE Guideline, No. 94.
National Guideline Centre (UK).
Copyright © NICE 2018.

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